Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.158159 0.169209 0.180750 0.193726 0.207932 0.223042 0.240364
2026-01-04 0.140504 0.156878 0.174957 0.196500 0.221604 0.250094 0.285099
2026-01-11 0.128002 0.146906 0.168547 0.195353 0.227944 0.266643 0.316614
2026-01-18 0.118099 0.138457 0.162428 0.193046 0.231567 0.279037 0.342936
2026-01-25 0.109829 0.131041 0.156608 0.190119 0.233523 0.288753 0.365868
2026-02-01 0.106009 0.128628 0.156512 0.193990 0.243947 0.309590 0.404716
2026-02-08 0.100287 0.123358 0.152328 0.192080 0.246352 0.319625 0.429247
2026-02-15 0.096058 0.119679 0.149858 0.192093 0.251097 0.332883 0.459144
2026-02-22 0.090918 0.114490 0.145046 0.188524 0.250465 0.338285 0.477621
2026-03-01 0.087310 0.111113 0.142415 0.187703 0.253507 0.348981 0.504790
2026-03-08 0.084743 0.108979 0.141308 0.188866 0.259358 0.364062 0.539977
2026-03-15 0.081001 0.105053 0.137512 0.185916 0.258851 0.369323 0.559533
2026-03-22 0.077914 0.101944 0.134768 0.184422 0.260550 0.378289 0.586437
2026-03-29 0.076315 0.100839 0.134799 0.187006 0.268646 0.397972 0.633737
2026-04-05 0.073731 0.098217 0.132506 0.185930 0.270866 0.408157 0.665100
2026-04-12 0.071015 0.095288 0.129622 0.183766 0.271152 0.415044 0.690972
2026-04-19 0.068317 0.092275 0.126478 0.181019 0.270275 0.419806 0.713183
2026-04-26 0.067537 0.092019 0.127397 0.184652 0.280105 0.443782 0.775096
2026-05-03 0.065368 0.089628 0.124998 0.182859 0.280653 0.451266 0.804814
2026-05-10 0.063791 0.088056 0.123768 0.182872 0.284251 0.464476 0.847697
2026-05-17 0.061466 0.085280 0.120581 0.179523 0.281773 0.466202 0.866322
2026-05-24 0.059893 0.083589 0.119006 0.178752 0.283779 0.476473 0.904616
2026-05-31 0.058842 0.082652 0.118567 0.179844 0.289152 0.493563 0.960146